Is Chris Paul [1958 Autograph Red Refractor] #1 worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 2008 Topps Chrome · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Chris Paul [1958 Autograph Red Refractor] #1 sell for $321, only $0.00 above the $2,200 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($292) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM): $2,200
Grade 9.5: $321
PSA 9: $292
Gem premium: 0.1×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Chris Paul [1958 Autograph Red Refractor] #1: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$321	−$1,904	−$1,929	−$2,029
PSA 9	$292	−$1,933	−$1,958	−$2,058
PSA 8	$265	−$1,960	−$1,985	−$2,085

Net = sale price − $2,200 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Chris Paul [1958 Autograph Red Refractor] #1: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$299	−$1,951
50%	$307	−$1,944
75%	$314	−$1,936

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Chris Paul [1958 Autograph Red Refractor] #1 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$321
9	$292
8	$265

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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