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Is Andrew Luck #BW-1 worth grading?

Football · Football Cards 2012 Topps Chrome Blue Wave Refractor · full price guide →

Worth grading only if it gems

A Grade 9.5 Andrew Luck #BW-1 brings $46.25 versus $17.00 raw — a $29.25 spread that covers an economy-tier ~$25 grading fee. A PSA 9 ($26.01) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming.

Raw (NM)
$17.00
Grade 9.5
$46.25
PSA 9
$26.01
Gem premium
2.7×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Andrew Luck #BW-1: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$46.25+$4.25−$20.75−$121
PSA 9$26.01−$15.99−$40.99−$141

Net = sale price − $17.00 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Andrew Luck #BW-1: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$31.07−$35.93
50%$36.13−$30.87
75%$41.19−$25.81

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Andrew Luck #BW-1 graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$46.25
9$26.01

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

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Grading Andrew Luck #BW-1 — FAQ

Is Andrew Luck #BW-1 worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 Andrew Luck #BW-1 brings $46.25 versus $17.00 raw — a $29.25 spread that covers an economy-tier ~$25 grading fee. A PSA 9 ($26.01) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming.

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