Is J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104 worth grading?

Football · Football Cards 2011 Topps Chrome · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A PSA 10 J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104 sells for $143 against $17.66 raw: a $125 spread, 8.1× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($54.35) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $17.66
PSA 10: $143
PSA 9: $54.35
Gem premium: 8.1×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — PSA 10	$143	+$100	+$75.29	−$24.71
PSA 9	$54.35	+$11.69	−$13.31	−$113
PSA 8	$21.45	−$21.21	−$46.21	−$146

Net = sale price − $17.66 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$76.50	+$8.84
50%	$98.65	+$30.99
75%	$121	+$53.14

Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 15%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.

Which grader pays the most — and what a 10 takes

All centering standards →

J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104: top-grade value by grading company with centering tolerance
Grader	10 sells for	vs best	Front centering for a 10	Back
BGS 10	$364	best	55/45	70/30
PSA 10	$143	−$221	55/45	75/25
CGC 10	$86.00	−$278	55/45	75/25
SGC 10	$86.00	−$278	55/45	75/25

Tolerances are each company's published centering standard for its top grade; surface, corners and edges must also be clean. Centering is the one you can measure yourself before you pay.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	PSA	CGC	BGS	SGC	Graded
10	$143	$86.00	$364	$86.00	—
9.5	—	—	—	—	$90.01
9	—	—	—	—	$54.35
8	—	—	—	—	$21.45
7	—	—	—	—	$17.00

Swipe the table for the other grading companies →

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.

Other 2011 Topps Chrome cards worth checking

Full set checklist →

$Colin Kaepernick [Passing Black Refractor] #25 2011 Topps Chrome card$

Colin Kaepernick [Passing Black Refractor] #25

Raw $41.23PSA 10 $500

Ryan Mallett [Rolling Out Crystal Atomic Refractor Autograph] #122

Raw $38.37PSA 10 $395

$Tom Brady [Refractor] #20 2011 Topps Chrome card$

Tom Brady [Refractor] #20

Raw $131PSA 10 $1,122

$Tyron Smith [Red Refractor] #38 2011 Topps Chrome card$

Tyron Smith [Red Refractor] #38

Raw $114PSA 10 $797

$Tom Brady [Orange Refractor] #20 2011 Topps Chrome card$

Tom Brady [Orange Refractor] #20

Raw $148PSA 10 $703

Tom Brady [Blue Refractor] #20

Raw $435PSA 10 $1,145

Grading J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104 — FAQ

Is J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104 worth grading?

How much is a PSA 10 J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104 worth compared with raw?

A PSA 10 J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104 (Football Cards 2011 Topps Chrome) sells for about $143 versus $17.66 for a raw near-mint copy — a 8.1× premium as of Sep 4, 2026.

Which grading company is best for J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104?

By resale value, BGS 10 leads at $364, ahead of PSA 10 at $143. Fees and turnaround differ, so the best-paying label is not always the best net.

What centering does J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104 need for a BGS 10?

BGS publishes 55/45 front and 70/30 back centering as the tolerance for a 10 (Gem Mint). Off-center copies are capped below the top grade regardless of surface — measure yours before paying the fee.

What gem rate makes grading J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104 break even?

At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting J.J. Watt [Refractor] #104 breaks even when it gems about 15% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $54.35).

Best on iPhone & Android

Check your football card in the Midpoint app

Scan with your camera to measure centering to the millimeter, get an AI grade with corner and edge close-ups, see what your copy is worth, and track it in your portfolio. Free to start.

Or try it on the web →