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Calvin Johnson [Black Refractor] #4 (Football Cards 2010 Topps Finest) — is it worth grading?

Is Calvin Johnson [Black Refractor] #4 worth grading?

Football · Football Cards 2010 Topps Finest · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Calvin Johnson [Black Refractor] #4 sells for $892 against $5.56 raw: a $886 spread, 160× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($811) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$5.56
Grade 9.5
$892
PSA 9
$811
Gem premium
160×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Calvin Johnson [Black Refractor] #4: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$892+$861+$836+$736
PSA 9$811+$780+$755+$655
PSA 8$89.99+$59.43+$34.43−$65.57

Net = sale price − $5.56 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Calvin Johnson [Black Refractor] #4: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$831+$776
50%$851+$796
75%$872+$816

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

Calvin Johnson [Black Refractor] #4 graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$892
9$811
8$89.99

Run your own numbers

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Grading Calvin Johnson [Black Refractor] #4 — FAQ

Is Calvin Johnson [Black Refractor] #4 worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 Calvin Johnson [Black Refractor] #4 sells for $892 against $5.56 raw: a $886 spread, 160× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($811) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

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