$Tom Brady [Throwing Red Refractor] #TC70 (Football Cards 2009 Topps Chrome) — is it worth grading?$

Is Tom Brady [Throwing Red Refractor] #TC70 worth grading?

Football · Football Cards 2009 Topps Chrome · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Tom Brady [Throwing Red Refractor] #TC70 sells for $8,500 against $1,900 raw: a $6,600 spread, 4.5× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($6,000) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $1,900
Grade 9.5: $8,500
PSA 9: $6,000
Gem premium: 4.5×
As of: Jul 11, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Tom Brady [Throwing Red Refractor] #TC70: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$8,500	+$6,575	+$6,550	+$6,450
PSA 9	$6,000	+$4,075	+$4,050	+$3,950
PSA 8	$1,009	−$916	−$941	−$1,041

Net = sale price − $1,900 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Tom Brady [Throwing Red Refractor] #TC70: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$6,625	+$4,675
50%	$7,250	+$5,300
75%	$7,875	+$5,925

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Tom Brady [Throwing Red Refractor] #TC70 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$8,500
9	$6,000
8	$1,009

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.

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