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Marshawn Lynch [Orange Refractor] #44 (Football Cards 2009 Bowman Chrome) — is it worth grading?

Is Marshawn Lynch [Orange Refractor] #44 worth grading?

Football · Football Cards 2009 Bowman Chrome · full price guide →

Worth grading only if it gems

A Grade 9.5 Marshawn Lynch [Orange Refractor] #44 brings $73.65 versus $40.00 raw — a $33.65 spread that covers an economy-tier ~$25 grading fee. A PSA 9 ($58.99) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming.

Raw (NM)
$40.00
Grade 9.5
$73.65
PSA 9
$58.99
Gem premium
1.8×
As of
Jul 11, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Marshawn Lynch [Orange Refractor] #44: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$73.65+$8.65−$16.35−$116
PSA 9$58.99−$6.01−$31.01−$131

Net = sale price − $40.00 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Marshawn Lynch [Orange Refractor] #44: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$62.66−$27.34
50%$66.32−$23.68
75%$69.98−$20.02

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Marshawn Lynch [Orange Refractor] #44 graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$73.65
9$58.99

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

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Grading Marshawn Lynch [Orange Refractor] #44 — FAQ

Is Marshawn Lynch [Orange Refractor] #44 worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 Marshawn Lynch [Orange Refractor] #44 brings $73.65 versus $40.00 raw — a $33.65 spread that covers an economy-tier ~$25 grading fee. A PSA 9 ($58.99) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming.

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