Is Joe Thomas [Gold] #204 worth grading?

Football · Football Cards 2007 Ultra · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Joe Thomas [Gold] #204 sells for $48.00 against $3.50 raw: a $44.50 spread, 14× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($44.00) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $3.50
Grade 9.5: $48.00
PSA 9: $44.00
Gem premium: 14×
As of: Sep 3, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Joe Thomas [Gold] #204: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$48.00	+$19.50	−$5.50	−$106
PSA 9	$44.00	+$15.50	−$9.50	−$110
PSA 8	$39.96	+$11.46	−$13.54	−$114

Net = sale price − $3.50 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Joe Thomas [Gold] #204: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$45.00	−$8.50
50%	$46.00	−$7.50
75%	$47.00	−$6.50

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Joe Thomas [Gold] #204 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$48.00
9	$44.00
8	$39.96

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.

Other 2007 Ultra cards worth checking

Full set checklist →

Joe Thomas [Target Exclusive] #204

Raw $2.99PSA 10 $150

Adam Carriker #258

Raw $1.34PSA 10 $40.62

Tom Brady #116

Raw $2.46PSA 10 $56.00

Joe Thomas [Retail] #204

Raw $4.47PSA 10 $89.00

Darrelle Revis #216

Raw $2.38PSA 10 $37.00

Joe Thomas #204