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Michael Jordan [Hot Packs] #3 (Basketball Cards 1995 Ultra Jam City) — is it worth grading?

Is Michael Jordan [Hot Packs] #3 worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 1995 Ultra Jam City · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Michael Jordan [Hot Packs] #3 sells for $3,740 against $110 raw: a $3,630 spread, 34× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($3,400) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$110
Grade 9.5
$3,740
PSA 9
$3,400
Gem premium
34×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Michael Jordan [Hot Packs] #3: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$3,740+$3,605+$3,580+$3,480
PSA 9$3,400+$3,265+$3,240+$3,140
PSA 8$534+$399+$374+$274

Net = sale price − $110 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Michael Jordan [Hot Packs] #3: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$3,485+$3,325
50%$3,570+$3,410
75%$3,655+$3,495

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

Michael Jordan [Hot Packs] #3 graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$3,740
9$3,400
8$534
7$206

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.

Other 1995 Ultra Jam City cards worth checking

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Grading Michael Jordan [Hot Packs] #3 — FAQ

Is Michael Jordan [Hot Packs] #3 worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 Michael Jordan [Hot Packs] #3 sells for $3,740 against $110 raw: a $3,630 spread, 34× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($3,400) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

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