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Is John Elway [Gold] #SOT-JE worth grading?

Football · Football Cards 2004 SP Authentic Sign of the Times · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of John Elway [Gold] #SOT-JE sell for $184, only $9.00 above the $175 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($168) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM)
$175
Grade 9.5
$184
PSA 9
$168
Gem premium
1.1×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

John Elway [Gold] #SOT-JE: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$184−$16.00−$41.00−$141
PSA 9$168−$32.50−$57.50−$158

Net = sale price − $175 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

John Elway [Gold] #SOT-JE: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$172−$53.38
50%$176−$49.25
75%$180−$45.13

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

John Elway [Gold] #SOT-JE graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$184
9$168

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

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Other 2004 SP Authentic Sign of the Times cards worth checking

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Grading John Elway [Gold] #SOT-JE — FAQ

Is John Elway [Gold] #SOT-JE worth grading?

Grade 9.5 copies of John Elway [Gold] #SOT-JE sell for $184, only $9.00 above the $175 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($168) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

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