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Is John Elway [Refractor Autograph] #FM3 worth grading?

Football · Football Cards 2000 Topps Finest Moments · full price guide →

Worth grading only if it gems

A Grade 9.5 John Elway [Refractor Autograph] #FM3 brings $327 versus $208 raw — a $119 spread that covers an economy-tier ~$25 grading fee. A PSA 9 ($207) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money.

Raw (NM)
$208
Grade 9.5
$327
PSA 9
$207
Gem premium
1.6×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

John Elway [Refractor Autograph] #FM3: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$327+$93.82+$68.82−$31.18
PSA 9$207−$25.71−$50.71−$151

Net = sale price − $208 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

John Elway [Refractor Autograph] #FM3: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$237−$20.83
50%$267+$9.06
75%$297+$38.94

Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 42%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.

John Elway [Refractor Autograph] #FM3 graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$327
9$207

Run your own numbers

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Grading John Elway [Refractor Autograph] #FM3 — FAQ

Is John Elway [Refractor Autograph] #FM3 worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 John Elway [Refractor Autograph] #FM3 brings $327 versus $208 raw — a $119 spread that covers an economy-tier ~$25 grading fee. A PSA 9 ($207) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money.

What gem rate makes grading John Elway [Refractor Autograph] #FM3 break even?

At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting John Elway [Refractor Autograph] #FM3 breaks even when it gems about 42% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $207).

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