Is Lilo [Black Wave Refractor] #199 worth grading?
Entertainment · 2025 Topps Chrome Disney · full price guide →
Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw
A Grade 9.5 Lilo [Black Wave Refractor] #199 sells for $176 against $125 raw: a $51.00 spread, 1.4× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($160) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
- Raw (NM)
- $125
- Grade 9.5
- $176
- PSA 9
- $160
- Gem premium
- 1.4×
- As of
- Aug 16, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — Grade 9.5 | $176 | +$26.00 | +$1.00 | −$99.00 |
| PSA 9 | $160 | +$10.00 | −$15.00 | −$115 |
Net = sale price − $125 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $164 | −$11.00 |
| 50% | $168 | −$7.00 |
| 75% | $172 | −$3.00 |
Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 94%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.
Full grade ladder
Raw conditions & history →| Grade | Graded |
|---|---|
| 9.5 | $176 |
| 9 | $160 |
Run your own numbers
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Full set checklist →Grading Lilo [Black Wave Refractor] #199 — FAQ
Is Lilo [Black Wave Refractor] #199 worth grading?
A Grade 9.5 Lilo [Black Wave Refractor] #199 sells for $176 against $125 raw: a $51.00 spread, 1.4× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($160) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
What gem rate makes grading Lilo [Black Wave Refractor] #199 break even?
At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Lilo [Black Wave Refractor] #199 breaks even when it gems about 94% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $160).
Is your entertainment card centered well enough to grade?
Centering makes or breaks a PSA 10. Scan any card with Midpoint to measure its exact centering, get a grade estimate, and see what your copy is actually worth.
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