Is John Offerdahl [Refractor] #51 worth grading?

Football · Football Cards 1994 Topps Finest · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 John Offerdahl [Refractor] #51 sells for $63.00 against $6.06 raw: a $56.94 spread, 10× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($57.00) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $6.06
Grade 9.5: $63.00
PSA 9: $57.00
Gem premium: 10×
As of: Sep 3, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

John Offerdahl [Refractor] #51: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$63.00	+$31.94	+$6.94	−$93.06
PSA 9	$57.00	+$25.94	+$0.94	−$99.06
PSA 8	$12.50	−$18.56	−$43.56	−$144

Net = sale price − $6.06 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

John Offerdahl [Refractor] #51: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$58.50	+$2.44
50%	$60.00	+$3.94
75%	$61.50	+$5.44

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

John Offerdahl [Refractor] #51 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$63.00
9	$57.00
8	$12.50

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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