![Shai Gilgeous Alexander [Fast Break] #11 (Basketball Cards 2018 Panini Prizm Luck of the Lottery) — is it worth grading?](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/ZesAAeSw5zhp4l08/s-l1600.jpg)
Is Shai Gilgeous Alexander [Fast Break] #11 worth grading?
Basketball · Basketball Cards 2018 Panini Prizm Luck of the Lottery · full price guide →
Strong grading candidate — 5.4× premium in PSA 10
A PSA 10 Shai Gilgeous Alexander [Fast Break] #11 sells for $371 against $68.90 raw: a $302 spread, 5.4× the ungraded price. A PSA 9 ($89.06) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
- Raw (NM)
- $68.90
- PSA 10
- $371
- PSA 9
- $89.06
- Gem premium
- 5.4×
- As of
- Jul 11, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — PSA 10 | $371 | +$277 | +$252 | +$152 |
| PSA 9 | $89.06 | −$4.84 | −$29.84 | −$130 |
| PSA 8 | $60.00 | −$33.90 | −$58.90 | −$159 |
Net = sale price − $68.90 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $159 | +$40.58 |
| 50% | $230 | +$111 |
| 75% | $300 | +$181 |
Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 11%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.
Which grader pays the most — and what a 10 takes
All centering standards →| Grader | 10 sells for | vs best | Front centering for a 10 | Back |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGS 10 | $482 | best | 55/45 | 70/30 |
| PSA 10 | $371 | −$111 | 55/45 | 75/25 |
| CGC 10 | $222 | −$260 | 55/45 | 75/25 |
| SGC 10 | $46.00 | −$436 | 55/45 | 75/25 |
Tolerances are each company's published centering standard for its top grade; surface, corners and edges must also be clean. Centering is the one you can measure yourself before you pay.
Full grade ladder
Raw conditions & history →| Grade | PSA | CGC | BGS | SGC | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | $371 | $222 | $482 | $46.00 | — |
| 9.5 | — | — | — | — | $90.48 |
| 9 | — | — | — | — | $89.06 |
| 8 | — | — | — | — | $60.00 |
Run your own numbers
Should I pay this?
Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.
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Grading Shai Gilgeous Alexander [Fast Break] #11 — FAQ
Is Shai Gilgeous Alexander [Fast Break] #11 worth grading?
A PSA 10 Shai Gilgeous Alexander [Fast Break] #11 sells for $371 against $68.90 raw: a $302 spread, 5.4× the ungraded price. A PSA 9 ($89.06) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
How much is a PSA 10 Shai Gilgeous Alexander [Fast Break] #11 worth compared with raw?
A PSA 10 Shai Gilgeous Alexander [Fast Break] #11 (Basketball Cards 2018 Panini Prizm Luck of the Lottery) sells for about $371 versus $68.90 for a raw near-mint copy — a 5.4× premium as of Jul 11, 2026.
Which grading company is best for Shai Gilgeous Alexander [Fast Break] #11?
By resale value, BGS 10 leads at $482, ahead of PSA 10 at $371. Fees and turnaround differ, so the best-paying label is not always the best net.
What centering does Shai Gilgeous Alexander [Fast Break] #11 need for a BGS 10?
BGS publishes 55/45 front and 70/30 back centering as the tolerance for a 10 (Gem Mint). Off-center copies are capped below the top grade regardless of surface — measure yours before paying the fee.
What gem rate makes grading Shai Gilgeous Alexander [Fast Break] #11 break even?
At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Shai Gilgeous Alexander [Fast Break] #11 breaks even when it gems about 11% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $89.06).
Is your basketball card centered well enough to grade?
Centering makes or breaks a PSA 10. Scan any card with Midpoint to measure its exact centering, get a grade estimate, and see what your copy is actually worth.
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