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Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11 (Basketball Cards 2018 Panini Prizm Luck of the Lottery) — is it worth grading?

Is Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11 worth grading?

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Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A PSA 10 Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11 sells for $128 against $16.76 raw: a $111 spread, 7.7× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($46.34) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$16.76
PSA 10
$128
PSA 9
$46.34
Gem premium
7.7×
As of
Jul 11, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — PSA 10$128+$86.50+$61.50−$38.50
PSA 9$46.34+$4.58−$20.42−$120
PSA 8$27.99−$13.77−$38.77−$139

Net = sale price − $16.76 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$66.82+$0.06
50%$87.30+$20.54
75%$108+$41.02

Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 25%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.

Which grader pays the most — and what a 10 takes

All centering standards
Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11: top-grade value by grading company with centering tolerance
Grader10 sells forvs bestFront centering for a 10Back
PSA 10$128best55/4575/25
BGS 10$119−$9.4555/4570/30
SGC 10$50.00−$78.2655/4575/25
CGC 10$43.00−$85.2655/4575/25

Tolerances are each company's published centering standard for its top grade; surface, corners and edges must also be clean. Centering is the one you can measure yourself before you pay.

Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11 graded prices by company and grade
GradePSACGCBGSSGCGraded
10$128$43.00$119$50.00
9.5$51.00
9$46.34
8$27.99
7$11.50

Run your own numbers

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Grading Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11 — FAQ

Is Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11 worth grading?

A PSA 10 Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11 sells for $128 against $16.76 raw: a $111 spread, 7.7× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($46.34) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

How much is a PSA 10 Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11 worth compared with raw?

A PSA 10 Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11 (Basketball Cards 2018 Panini Prizm Luck of the Lottery) sells for about $128 versus $16.76 for a raw near-mint copy — a 7.7× premium as of Jul 11, 2026.

Which grading company is best for Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11?

By resale value, PSA 10 leads at $128, ahead of BGS 10 at $119. Fees and turnaround differ, so the best-paying label is not always the best net.

What centering does Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11 need for a PSA 10?

PSA publishes 55/45 front and 75/25 back centering as the tolerance for a 10 (Gem Mint). Off-center copies are capped below the top grade regardless of surface — measure yours before paying the fee.

What gem rate makes grading Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11 break even?

At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Shai Gilgeous Alexander #11 breaks even when it gems about 25% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $46.34).

Is your basketball card centered well enough to grade?

Centering makes or breaks a PSA 10. Scan any card with Midpoint to measure its exact centering, get a grade estimate, and see what your copy is actually worth.

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