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Luka Doncic #3 (Basketball Cards 2018 Panini Prizm Luck of the Lottery) — is it worth grading?

Is Luka Doncic #3 worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 2018 Panini Prizm Luck of the Lottery · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A PSA 10 Luka Doncic #3 sells for $122 against $21.52 raw: a $101 spread, 5.7× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($52.75) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$21.52
PSA 10
$122
PSA 9
$52.75
Gem premium
5.7×
As of
Jul 11, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Luka Doncic #3: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — PSA 10$122+$75.94+$50.94−$49.06
PSA 9$52.75+$6.23−$18.77−$119
PSA 8$41.15−$5.37−$30.37−$130

Net = sale price − $21.52 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Luka Doncic #3: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$70.18−$1.34
50%$87.60+$16.08
75%$105+$33.51

Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 27%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.

Which grader pays the most — and what a 10 takes

All centering standards
Luka Doncic #3: top-grade value by grading company with centering tolerance
Grader10 sells forvs bestFront centering for a 10Back
BGS 10$159best55/4570/30
PSA 10$122−$36.5455/4575/25
CGC 10$73.00−$86.0055/4575/25
SGC 10$46.50−$11355/4575/25

Tolerances are each company's published centering standard for its top grade; surface, corners and edges must also be clean. Centering is the one you can measure yourself before you pay.

Luka Doncic #3 graded prices by company and grade
GradePSACGCBGSSGCGraded
10$122$73.00$159$46.50
9.5$86.03
9$52.75
8$41.15

Run your own numbers

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Grading Luka Doncic #3 — FAQ

Is Luka Doncic #3 worth grading?

A PSA 10 Luka Doncic #3 sells for $122 against $21.52 raw: a $101 spread, 5.7× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($52.75) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

How much is a PSA 10 Luka Doncic #3 worth compared with raw?

A PSA 10 Luka Doncic #3 (Basketball Cards 2018 Panini Prizm Luck of the Lottery) sells for about $122 versus $21.52 for a raw near-mint copy — a 5.7× premium as of Jul 11, 2026.

Which grading company is best for Luka Doncic #3?

By resale value, BGS 10 leads at $159, ahead of PSA 10 at $122. Fees and turnaround differ, so the best-paying label is not always the best net.

What centering does Luka Doncic #3 need for a BGS 10?

BGS publishes 55/45 front and 70/30 back centering as the tolerance for a 10 (Gem Mint). Off-center copies are capped below the top grade regardless of surface — measure yours before paying the fee.

What gem rate makes grading Luka Doncic #3 break even?

At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Luka Doncic #3 breaks even when it gems about 27% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $52.75).

Is your basketball card centered well enough to grade?

Centering makes or breaks a PSA 10. Scan any card with Midpoint to measure its exact centering, get a grade estimate, and see what your copy is actually worth.

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