Is T.J. Watt #16 worth grading?
Football · Football Cards 2025 Panini Black Smokescreen · full price guide →
Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw
A PSA 10 T.J. Watt #16 sells for $343 against $74.50 raw: a $268 spread, 4.6× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($123) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
- Raw (NM)
- $74.50
- PSA 10
- $343
- PSA 9
- $123
- Gem premium
- 4.6×
- As of
- Jul 11, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — PSA 10 | $343 | +$243 | +$218 | +$118 |
| PSA 9 | $123 | +$23.59 | −$1.41 | −$101 |
| PSA 8 | $71.11 | −$28.39 | −$53.39 | −$153 |
Net = sale price − $74.50 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $178 | +$53.50 |
| 50% | $233 | +$108 |
| 75% | $288 | +$163 |
Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 1%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.
Which grader pays the most — and what a 10 takes
All centering standards →| Grader | 10 sells for | vs best | Front centering for a 10 | Back |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGS 10 | $446 | best | 55/45 | 70/30 |
| PSA 10 | $343 | −$103 | 55/45 | 75/25 |
| CGC 10 | $206 | −$240 | 55/45 | 75/25 |
| SGC 10 | $206 | −$240 | 55/45 | 75/25 |
Tolerances are each company's published centering standard for its top grade; surface, corners and edges must also be clean. Centering is the one you can measure yourself before you pay.
Full grade ladder
Raw conditions & history →| Grade | PSA | CGC | BGS | SGC | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | $343 | $206 | $446 | $206 | — |
| 9.5 | — | — | — | — | $233 |
| 9 | — | — | — | — | $123 |
| 8 | — | — | — | — | $71.11 |
Run your own numbers
Should I pay this?
Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.
Grading T.J. Watt #16 — FAQ
Is T.J. Watt #16 worth grading?
A PSA 10 T.J. Watt #16 sells for $343 against $74.50 raw: a $268 spread, 4.6× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($123) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
How much is a PSA 10 T.J. Watt #16 worth compared with raw?
A PSA 10 T.J. Watt #16 (Football Cards 2025 Panini Black Smokescreen) sells for about $343 versus $74.50 for a raw near-mint copy — a 4.6× premium as of Jul 11, 2026.
Which grading company is best for T.J. Watt #16?
By resale value, BGS 10 leads at $446, ahead of PSA 10 at $343. Fees and turnaround differ, so the best-paying label is not always the best net.
What centering does T.J. Watt #16 need for a BGS 10?
BGS publishes 55/45 front and 70/30 back centering as the tolerance for a 10 (Gem Mint). Off-center copies are capped below the top grade regardless of surface — measure yours before paying the fee.
What gem rate makes grading T.J. Watt #16 break even?
At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting T.J. Watt #16 breaks even when it gems about 1% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $123).
Is your football card centered well enough to grade?
Centering makes or breaks a PSA 10. Scan any card with Midpoint to measure its exact centering, get a grade estimate, and see what your copy is actually worth.
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