Is Luka Doncic [Gold] #1 worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Alter Ego · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Luka Doncic [Gold] #1 sell for $1,110, only $0.00 above the $1,450 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($1,009) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM): $1,450
Grade 9.5: $1,110
PSA 9: $1,009
Gem premium: 0.8×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Luka Doncic [Gold] #1: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$1,110	−$365	−$390	−$490
PSA 9	$1,009	−$466	−$491	−$591

Net = sale price − $1,450 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Luka Doncic [Gold] #1: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$1,034	−$466
50%	$1,060	−$441
75%	$1,085	−$415

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Luka Doncic [Gold] #1 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$1,110
9	$1,009

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.

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